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Boxing · Model picks

Boxing picks, model-driven.

Moneyline picks on the bout winner, priced against a free no-vig market line and graded win or lose after the fight.

Live from the lab

What the models are calling right now

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Every prediction is timestamped before the game starts and graded when it ends. Locked ones unlock with Pro.

Nothing published right now. New predictions post as the slate opens.

Best strategies

What is working lately

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A strategy is one model in one league and one market, ranked on its own graded record.

Best 30 days

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Best 30 days

Best 90 days

Every model, pooled · last 90 days · since 2026-07-31

Record
32-20
Win Rate: The percentage of settled bets that won, excluding pushes and voids from the denominator. On its own win rate can mislead — a high win rate on heavy favorites can still be unprofitable — so it is read alongside ROI and units.
61.5%
Unit: A standardized stake size used to measure performance independent of bankroll — typically 1% to 2% of a bankroll. Records are tracked in units (e.g. +12.5u) so a handicapper’s results can be compared fairly without knowing dollar amounts.
-4.84u
total profit across all picks
Closing Line Value (CLV): The difference between the price you got on a bet and the closing line — the final market price right before the game starts. Consistently beating the close (positive CLV) is the strongest evidence a bet had real value, independent of whether it won on the day.
—
edge vs. the closing line

FAQ

Boxing betting questions

Which boxing markets are covered?

Moneyline — the bout winner. Method/round props may come later.

Where do the odds come from?

Free no-vig prediction-market prices; the edge is the model price vs that line.

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