Following strategies with a watchlist and alerts

Following a strategy means seeing its picks as they publish. Choose on evidence: a few hundred graded picks, positive average closing line value, and a drawdown you could live with. A strategy that tops a short window is a reason to watch, not to follow.

Follow narrowly. A model that does well on one league and market may do poorly on another, which is why each strategy is a model applied to one league and one market. Following a whole model mixes the two.

Star a strategy on the Strategies board and it appears on your watchlist, with the picks it is making now. The watchlist also charts your followed strategies combined: the running total in units of every strategy you follow, added together. The Predictions board has a Following tab that narrows the feed to the same strategies.

The combined chart is what following all of them at one unit per pick would have done at the published prices. Your own results would differ with different prices, stakes or skipped picks.

Pro members can set three kinds of alerts: standard alerts, steam alerts on fast market-wide moves, and reverse-line-move alerts when a line moves against the side most bettors are on. Fired alerts collect in your alert inbox, and you choose the channels they reach you on in your account settings.

An alert says something happened at a moment. It does not say the price is still there, or that it is a bet. By the time you read it, the line may have moved. Check the game page before acting on any alert.

Alerts make it easy to bet more often than you planned. Decide in advance which alerts you will act on and how much you will stake, in units, per pick. If an alert would take you past your daily limit, let it pass.

Review what you followed. Once a month, compare your own results on followed picks with the strategy's record. A large gap usually comes from the prices you took or the picks you skipped, and it tells you more than the strategy's record does about how you are betting.

Say you follow three strategies on the watchlist at one unit per pick. Over a month, they post 60 picks between them. You bet 45, skipping the ones that came in while you were away, and you get the posted price or better on 30 of the 45.

Your result on those 45 can differ from the watchlist's combined chart in either direction. If the skipped picks lost, you are ahead of it. If you took worse prices on 15 of them, you are behind. Writing down which picks you took, and at what price, is the only way to know which.

Decide the exit before you start. A sensible rule names a sample and a measure: after 200 more graded picks, stop if average CLV has turned negative, or if the drawdown has gone past the worst one on record. Write it down.

Do not stop because of a short losing run on a strategy that still meets your rule, and do not keep following one that has broken it because it won last week. A rule made in advance protects you from both.

The watchlist, following and alerts are part of the Pro plan. Every strategy's graded record stays public on the free plan, so you can do the choosing before you pay.