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MVP Capping

Autotrader

MVP Capping's autotrader · real money on Kalshi

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Strategy

ML Logistic Regression

MoneylineUFC

Not autotrading right now. Its record below is what it did while it was.

Every real-money trade the Autotrader has settled for this pick model in this market and league, losses included. Its paper record is simulated and is never added to the live figures.

All ML Logistic Regression strategies →All UFC strategies →

Record starts Sep 1, 2026

Live · real money

−$2.68

−21.7%

5–8

Trades

13

Staked

$12.35

−$1.02

−12.7%

7–5

Trades

12

Staked

$8.02

columns are simulated: what the model would have done, one bet per market, with no real money. They are never counted in the totals above. Since 26 Oct 2026 the record is published by the merged trader; where several simulated variants filled the same market in one pass, the smallest stake stands, so a few models' paper totals shifted slightly that day.

Cumulative live P&L by day

Sep 26Oct 10Oct 31−$3.00−$2.00−$1.00$0.00
Cumulative P&L, net of exchange fees

Trade log

13 settled trades
DateMatchupPickModelEntryExit
Oct 31, 2026Ode OsbourneML Logistic Regression49¢Stop-loss · 39¢Lost−$0.13
Oct 31, 2026Joe KropschotML Logistic Regression74¢Take-profit · 93¢Won+$0.17
Oct 31, 2026Lucia SzabovaML Logistic Regression86¢Stop-loss · 79¢Lost−$0.09
Oct 31, 2026Rodrigo SezinandoML Logistic Regression61¢Stop-loss · 55¢Lost−$0.09
Oct 31, 2026Jung-Young LeeML Logistic Regression61¢SettledLost−$0.63
Oct 31, 2026Zach ReeseML Logistic Regression74¢Take-profit · 87¢Won+$0.11
Oct 31, 2026Andre PetroskiML Logistic Regression37¢SettledWon+$0.01
Oct 10, 2026Andre FiliML Logistic Regression59¢SettledWon+$0.39
Oct 10, 2026Felipe FrancoML Logistic Regression77¢SettledLost−$0.78
Sep 26, 2026Yazmin JaureguiML Logistic Regression87¢SettledWon+$0.61
Sep 26, 2026John CastanedaML Logistic Regression73¢SettledLost−$0.74
Sep 26, 2026Rinya NakamuraML Logistic Regression77¢SettledLost−$0.78
Sep 26, 2026Mehemmedeli OsmanliML Logistic Regression72¢SettledLost−$0.73
1–13 of 13

Fine print

  • Real money on , a CFTC-regulated exchange.
  • Each stake is sized from the account balance, never below 1 contract and never above a fixed per-order cap. Earlier trades used fixed sizes, so contract counts vary across the record.
  • P&L is net of Kalshi's fees on both the buy and the sale; entry and exit prices are the prices actually traded.
  • Some positions close early under and rules.
  • Positions are shown only after their game starts. A trade closed early appears once its market settles.
  • Manual trades on the account are excluded.
  • This is a ; past results do not predict future results.
  • Not investment advice.
  • Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling resources.
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