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Autotrader

MVP Capping's autotrader · real money on Kalshi

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Strategy

ML Logistic Regression

MoneylineMLS

Not autotrading right now. Its record below is what it did while it was.

Every real-money trade the Autotrader has settled for this pick model in this market and league, losses included. Its paper record is simulated and is never added to the live figures.

All ML Logistic Regression strategies →All MLS strategies →

Record starts Sep 1, 2026

Live · real money

+$0.61

+4.0%

6–5

Trades

11

Staked

$15.27

+$0.39

+7.0%

6–4

Trades

10

Staked

$5.61

columns are simulated: what the model would have done, one bet per market, with no real money. They are never counted in the totals above. Since 26 Oct 2026 the record is published by the merged trader; where several simulated variants filled the same market in one pass, the smallest stake stands, so a few models' paper totals shifted slightly that day.

Cumulative live P&L by day

Sep 27Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28−$1.00−$0.50$0.00+$0.50+$1.00+$1.50+$2.00
Cumulative P&L, net of exchange fees

Trade log

11 settled trades
DateMatchupPickModelEntryExit
Oct 28, 2026Chicago Fire FcML Logistic Regression61¢SettledLost−$0.63
Oct 28, 2026Saint LouisML Logistic Regression56¢SettledLost−$0.58
Oct 28, 2026Minnesota United FcML Logistic Regression69¢SettledWon+$0.30
Oct 28, 2026Charlotte FcML Logistic Regression65¢SettledWon+$0.33
Oct 24, 2026Colorado RapidsML Logistic Regression31¢SettledWon+$0.67
Oct 24, 2026Philadelphia UnionML Logistic Regression66¢Stop-loss · 53¢Lost−$0.16
Oct 24, 2026Orlando City ScML Logistic Regression46¢Stop-loss · 21¢Lost−$0.28
Oct 24, 2026Salt LakeML Logistic Regression41¢SettledWon+$0.57
Oct 21, 2026CincinnatiML Logistic Regression58¢Take-profit · 75¢Won+$1.26
Sep 27, 2026MiamiML Logistic Regression46¢SettledLost−$2.39
Sep 26, 2026Philadelphia UnionML Logistic Regression68¢SettledWon+$1.52
1–11 of 11

Fine print

  • Real money on , a CFTC-regulated exchange.
  • Each stake is sized from the account balance, never below 1 contract and never above a fixed per-order cap. Earlier trades used fixed sizes, so contract counts vary across the record.
  • P&L is net of Kalshi's fees on both the buy and the sale; entry and exit prices are the prices actually traded.
  • Some positions close early under and rules.
  • Positions are shown only after their game starts. A trade closed early appears once its market settles.
  • Manual trades on the account are excluded.
  • This is a ; past results do not predict future results.
  • Not investment advice.
  • Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling resources.