Definición
A pick whose model edge is strong enough that the recommended half-Kelly stake would exceed our platform's own responsible-sizing cap — i.e. the model has real conviction, not just a marginal edge.
Términos relacionados
- Fractional Kelly (Half-Kelly) — Betting a fraction (often ½) of the full Kelly stake — far smoother bankroll swings for slightly less growth.
- Edge — The model's estimated advantage over the market — the gap between its projected win probability and the probability implied by the price.