MVP Edge Score

A 0-100 score summarising how good an opportunity a pick is, combining the model's edge over the price, its conviction, its historical closing-line record, late line movement, money-vs-tickets divergence, how liquid and how soft the market is, sharp-book disagreement, and injury or weather context. It is a presentation of signals we already publish individually — it never decides which picks get published.

• Edge — The model's estimated advantage over the market — the gap between its projected win probability and the probability implied by the price.
• Closing Line Value (CLV) — How much a pick beat the closing line — the final market price before kickoff. Consistently positive CLV is the strongest evidence of real edge, win or lose.
• Confidence — A 0–100 score for how strong the signals behind a pick are — edge, line movement, splits and more in one read. Higher means more agreeing signals, not a guarantee.
• Risk Label — Low / medium / high beside the Edge Score. Reflects both how strong the score is and how much real data backs it — a high score built on missing inputs is still high risk.